Match Info

Suomi-sarja - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Virkiä		Haukat Järvenpää

	1	X	2
	2.4	5.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 (2.4)	5.1 (5.1)	2 (2)

The best margin for this event is 11.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virkiä
37.4%

Draw
17.6%

Haukat Järvenpää
44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

19%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Virkiä have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Haukat Järvenpää have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virkiä than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haukat Järvenpää than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
04:31, 1 - 0, Kangaskoski M. (G), Autio J. (A),
07:02, 2 - 0, Haarala V. (G), Ojanpera J. (A), Pohjasmaki J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:52, 2 - 1, Ronkko R. (G), Vento J. (A), Saikkonen T. (A2)
05:34, 3 - 1, Autio T. (G), Rintasalo T. (A), Kontteli M. (A2)
10:44, 3 - 2, Jokinen J. (G), Vilen E. (A), Ronkko R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
05:43, 3 - 3, Vilen E. (G),
Overtime (1 - 0)
09:15, 4 - 3, Kangaskoski M. (G), Siren S. (A),

Preview

Haukat Jarvenpaa leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virkiä won 3.

In recent matches, Virkiä has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Järvenpää is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Virkiä has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Virkiä won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 46:47. (average 3.5:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Virkiä won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:15. (average 4.6:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Jarvenpaa	8	5	1	0	2	32:23	17
11	Virkia	7	1	1	2	3	13:22	7

Last Results with these Odds

Virkiä - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.44%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virkiä Hockey
Finnish Suomi-sarja
25.02.26	Haukat Järvenpää - Virkiä	4:3 ✺
14.02.26	Virkiä - Forssan Palloseura	6:2 ✺
13.02.26	Virkiä - Muik Hockey	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Virkiä - Porvoo Hunters	5:2 ✺
01.02.26	Virkiä - Kotkan Titaanit	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWW
- Haukat Järvenpää
Finnish Suomi-sarja
25.02.26	Haukat Järvenpää - Virkiä	4:3 ✺
14.02.26	Haukat Järvenpää - PEPO Lappeenranta	11:2 ✺
12.02.26	LeKi - Haukat Järvenpää	5:4 ✺
06.02.26	Kotkan Titaanit - Haukat Järvenpää	2:9 ✺
28.01.26	Haukat Järvenpää - Porvoo Hunters	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Suomi-sarja
25.02.26	Haukat Järvenpää - Virkiä	4:3
18.01.26	Virkiä - Haukat Järvenpää	3:1
26.10.25	Haukat Järvenpää - Virkiä	4:2
10.03.25	Haukat Järvenpää - Virkiä	2:4
08.03.25	Virkiä - Haukat Järvenpää	4:2
07.03.25	Haukat Järvenpää - Virkiä	1:2 OT
22.02.25	Haukat Järvenpää - Virkiä	8:3

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