Match Info

Suomi-sarja - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Haukat Järvenpää		Virkiä

	1	X	2
	1.65	5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 (1.65)	5 (5)	3.25 (3.25)

The best margin for this event is 11.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haukat Järvenpää
54.4%

Draw
18%

Virkiä
27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

19.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Haukat Järvenpää have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Virkiä have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haukat Järvenpää than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virkiä than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
12:49, 1 - 0, Leipijarvi L. (G), Ylikarppa J. (A), Palander R. (A2)
18:48, 2 - 0, Lampi E. (G), Luhtanen E. (A), Soderqvist J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
08:44, 3 - 0, Vilen E. (G), Vento J. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
12:13, 4 - 0, Posti L. (G), Ronkko R. (A),
15:36, 4 - 1, Niemela J. (G), Haarala V. (A), Niku T. (A2)
17:19, 5 - 1, Vento J. (G),

Preview

Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Järvenpää won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Virkiä has had a series of home games.

Järvenpää is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Järvenpää won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 50:50. (average 3.6:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Järvenpää won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 4:2.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Jarvenpaa	8	5	1	0	2	32:23	17
11	Virkia	7	1	1	2	3	13:22	7

Last Results with these Odds

Haukat Järvenpää - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 54.42%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Virkiä - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.63%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haukat Järvenpää
Finnish Suomi-sarja
02.03.26	Virkiä - Haukat Järvenpää	4:3 OT ✺
25.02.26	Haukat Järvenpää - Virkiä	4:3 ✺
14.02.26	Haukat Järvenpää - PEPO Lappeenranta	11:2 ✺
12.02.26	LeKi - Haukat Järvenpää	5:4 ✺
06.02.26	Kotkan Titaanit - Haukat Järvenpää	2:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLW
- Virkiä Hockey
Finnish Suomi-sarja
02.03.26	Virkiä - Haukat Järvenpää	4:3 OT ✺
25.02.26	Haukat Järvenpää - Virkiä	4:3 ✺
14.02.26	Virkiä - Forssan Palloseura	6:2 ✺
13.02.26	Virkiä - Muik Hockey	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Virkiä - Porvoo Hunters	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Suomi-sarja
02.03.26	Virkiä - Haukat Järvenpää	4:3 OT
25.02.26	Haukat Järvenpää - Virkiä	4:3
18.01.26	Virkiä - Haukat Järvenpää	3:1
26.10.25	Haukat Järvenpää - Virkiä	4:2
10.03.25	Haukat Järvenpää - Virkiä	2:4
08.03.25	Virkiä - Haukat Järvenpää	4:2
07.03.25	Haukat Järvenpää - Virkiä	1:2 OT

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