The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vrchlabí 40.7%
Draw 20.8%
Kralupy nad Vltavou 38.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
19.7%
39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
22.3%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vrchlabí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Kralupy nad Vltavou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vrchlabí than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vrchlabí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kralupy nad Vltavou than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
05:53, 0 - 1, Bernat T. (G), Jobanek J. (A), Elias F. (A2)
14:16, 1 - 1, Blaha T. (G), Benes Mi. (A), Jebavy J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
01:35, 1 - 2, Vlasak M. (G), Nemecek D. (A), Arnost D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:47, 1 - 3, Kunst V. (G), Sklenar J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vrchlabí won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Vrchlabí (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Kralupy have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Kralupy could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Vrchlabí has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Vrchlabí has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:25 (averaging 3.9:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vrchlabí against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:10 goals (averaging 3:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
Kralupy
5
3
0
1
1
22:11
10
11
HC Vrchlabi
6
0
1
0
5
11:25
2
Last Results with these Odds
Kralupy nad Vltavou - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 38.99%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.