Match Info

HockeyAllsvenskan - Play Out - Final

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: ABB Arena Nord (Vasteras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Västerås		Troja Ljungby

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.3	3.8
	1.7	4.33	3.9
	1.75	4.38	3.88
	1.63	4.5	3.95
	1.65	4.62	4.05	Watch
	1.62	4.2	3.75
	1.6	4.3	4.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.74)	4.38 ↑ (4.13)	3.95 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Västerås
55.4%

Draw
21.2%

Troja Ljungby
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

22.2%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

23.5%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Västerås has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Troja Ljungby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Västerås than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Västerås that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troja Ljungby than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Västerås - Troja Ljungby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Hakansson O. (G)	37. Stalberg J. (G)
59. Myllari A.	59. Wytinck Z.
10. Jansson Lorek J.	18. Hedberg T.
44. Lawner O.	88. Hellstrom F.
67. Komarek K. (C)	13. Wemmenborn A. (A)
27. Jakobsson C.	96. Skager L.
Line 2
21. Malmstrom H. (A)	16. Froland D. (C)
36. Norberg O.	6. Ernstig C.
47. Guay P.	77. Frattaroli B.
77. Birgersson O.	19. McShane A.
50. Loimaranta V.	76. Jarbsjo M.
Line 3
24. Wahlund J.	11. Bergmanis A.
60. Lundgren N.	43. Arvedson A.
64. Madsen D.	73. Gradin A.
76. Kvist O. (A)	8. Nilsson A. (A)
29. Rosdahl K.	24. Olsson H.
Line 4
8. Pennerborn V.	91. Hakansson A.
22. Johansson V.	10. Kakela L.
11. Wengrud A.	9. Warg L.
16. Pantzare V.
Substitutes
40. Korhonen R. (G)	82. Forsmark F.
30. Oschgan B. (G)	30. Froberg O. (G)
	35. Holm V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
02:24, 0 - 1, Wytinck Z. (G), McShane A. (A), Wemmenborn A. (A2)
07:08, 1 - 1, Komarek K. (G), Jansson Lorek J. (A), Jakobsson C. (A2)
09:36, 1 - 2, Warg L. (G), Hakansson A. (A), Hedberg T. (A2)
14:03, 2 - 2, Johansson V. (G), Birgersson O. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
03:33, 3 - 2, Komarek K. (G), Jansson Lorek J. (A), Lawner O. (A2)
16:57, 4 - 2, Malmstrom H. (G), Pantzare V. (A), Norberg O. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
09:59, 4 - 3, Warg L. (G), Hedberg T. (A),

Preview

Vasteras leads series 3-1. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Västerås won 4.

Västerås has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Troja Ljungby is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Västerås is considered a favorite.

We predict that Västerås will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Västerås won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 59:48. (average 3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Västerås won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 3:2.2).

Outrights of Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan for now

Vasteras: 0.95%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
11	Vasteras	8	2	0	1	5	21:24	7

Last Results with these Odds

Västerås - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 52.87%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Västerås HK
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
19.03.26	Troja Ljungby - Västerås	4:3 OT ✺
17.03.26	Troja Ljungby - Västerås	3:4 ✺
14.03.26	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	2:1 OT ✺
12.03.26	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	6:2 ✺
06.03.26	Västerås - Björklöven	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWL
- Troja Ljungby
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
19.03.26	Troja Ljungby - Västerås	4:3 OT ✺
17.03.26	Troja Ljungby - Västerås	3:4 ✺
14.03.26	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	2:1 OT ✺
12.03.26	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	6:2 ✺
06.03.26	Troja Ljungby - Vimmerby	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
19.03.26	Troja Ljungby - Västerås	4:3 OT
17.03.26	Troja Ljungby - Västerås	3:4
14.03.26	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	2:1 OT
12.03.26	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	6:2
06.02.26	Troja Ljungby - Västerås	1:2
07.01.26	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	2:3 OT
10.12.25	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	2:4

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