Match Info

HockeyAllsvenskan - Play Out - Final

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: SP Arena (Ljungby)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Troja Ljungby		Västerås

	1	X	2
	3.1	4.2	2
	2.97	4.03	2.11
	2.9	4.05	2.01
	2.98	4.15	2.03	Watch
	2.75	3.9	2
	2.92	3.86	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.54)	4.03 ↓ (4.08)	2.03 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troja Ljungby
31.5%

Draw
23%

Västerås
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

22.7%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

25%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troja Ljungby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Västerås has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troja Ljungby than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troja Ljungby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Västerås than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Västerås, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Troja Ljungby - Västerås Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Stalberg J. (G)	1. Hakansson O. (G)
59. Wytinck Z.	10. Jansson Lorek J.
18. Hedberg T.	59. Myllari A. (A)
88. Hellstrom F.	44. Lawner O.
13. Wemmenborn A. (A)	67. Komarek K.
96. Skager L.	27. Jakobsson C.
Line 2
16. Froland D. (C)	60. Lundgren N. (C)
57. Ehrnberg C.	21. Malmstrom H.
77. Frattaroli B.	47. Guay P.
19. McShane A.	77. Birgersson O.
76. Jarbsjo M.	50. Loimaranta V.
Line 3
11. Bergmanis A.	8. Pennerborn V.
43. Arvedson A.	36. Norberg O.
73. Gradin A.	64. Madsen D.
8. Nilsson A. (A)	76. Kvist O.
24. Olsson H.	29. Rosdahl K. (A)
Line 4
6. Ernstig C.	24. Wahlund J.
91. Hakansson A.	22. Johansson V.
10. Kakela L.	11. Wengrud A.
9. Warg L.	16. Pantzare V.
Substitutes
82. Forsmark F.	40. Korhonen R. (G)
30. Froberg O. (G)	6. Lilja A.
35. Holm V. (G)	30. Oschgan B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
12:25, 1 - 0, Gradin A. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 3)
00:19, 1 - 1, Jakobsson C. (G), Myllari A. (A),
09:03, 1 - 2, Jansson Lorek J. (G), Myllari A. (A), Komarek K. (A2)
09:43, 2 - 2, McShane A. (G), Skager L. (A), Wytinck Z. (A2)
11:40, 2 - 3, Lawner O. (G), Komarek K. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
09:57, 3 - 3, Warg L. (G), Wemmenborn A. (A), Hedberg T. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
05:50, 4 - 3, Nilsson A. (G),

Preview

Vasteras leads series 3-0. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troja Ljungby won 1.

Troja Ljungby is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Västerås is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Västerås might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Västerås will win today's game, with odds of 2.05.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Troja Ljungby won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 45:56. (average 2.3:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Troja Ljungby won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 2.3:2.6).

Outrights of Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan for now

Vasteras: 0.89%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
11	Vasteras	9	3	0	1	5	23:24	10

Last Results with these Odds

Troja Ljungby - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.54%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Västerås - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.71%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troja Ljungby
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
17.03.26	Troja Ljungby - Västerås	3:4 ✺
14.03.26	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	2:1 OT ✺
12.03.26	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	6:2 ✺
06.03.26	Troja Ljungby - Vimmerby	3:4 OT ✺
04.03.26	Troja Ljungby - Björklöven	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Västerås HK
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
17.03.26	Troja Ljungby - Västerås	3:4 ✺
14.03.26	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	2:1 OT ✺
12.03.26	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	6:2 ✺
06.03.26	Västerås - Björklöven	1:3 ✺
04.03.26	Mora - Västerås	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
17.03.26	Troja Ljungby - Västerås	3:4
14.03.26	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	2:1 OT
12.03.26	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	6:2
06.02.26	Troja Ljungby - Västerås	1:2
07.01.26	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	2:3 OT
10.12.25	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	2:4
10.10.25	Troja Ljungby - Västerås	3:4 OT

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