Match Info

DEL2 - Round 40

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Hans-Schröpf arena (Weiden in der Oberpfalz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sportdeuschland


	Weiden		EHC Freiburg

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.5	3.5
	1.79	4.05	3.35
	1.8	3.73	3.18
	1.82	4.17	3.55	Watch
	1.8	4	3.2
	1.8	4.05	3.4
	1.8	3.85	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	4.05 ↓ (4.2)	3.37 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weiden
50.7%

Draw
22.4%

EHC Freiburg
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

22.1%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

23.9%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weiden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

EHC Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weiden than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Freiburg than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Weiden - EHC Freiburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
34. McNiven M. (G)	40. Hegmann F. (G)
26. Schwaiger D.	95. Kuhnhauser K.
3. Muck T.	61. Hempel N.
89. Ward T.	89. Muhlbauer L.
19. Voyer A.	9. Linsenmaier N.
7. Glaser L.	84. Elo E.
Line 2
79. Pokorny C.	86. De Los Rios A.
27. Bohac D.	8. Schlenker C.
24. Vinzens P.	97. McCallum L.
15. Voit F.	57. Kretschmann C.
71. Schiemenz C.	13. Ilestedt F.
Line 3
11. Marusch L.	27. Trinkberger D.
28. Kolb M.	77. Heider P.
13. Vogt C.	91. Schwamberger T.
88. Samanski No.	21. Ewanyk T.
8. Samanski Ne.	81. Billich C.
Line 4
6. Edfelder M.	78. Schindler S.
72. Thal G.	44. Majher L.
86. Schwarz T.	23. Bechtold P.
Substitutes
25. Wolf S. (G)	76. Goss C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
18:57, 1 - 0, Vinzens P. (G), Schiemenz C. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
05:08, 2 - 0, Ward T. (G), Muck T. (A),
10:47, 3 - 0, Ward T. (G), Muck T. (A),
14:11, 3 - 1, Ilestedt F. (G), Hempel N. (A),
15:04, 3 - 2, Schwamberger T. (G), Billich C. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
06:18, 3 - 3, Muhlbauer L. (G), Ewanyk T. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:14, 3 - 4, Muhlbauer L. (G), McCallum L. (A), Hegmann F. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Weiden won 4.

Weiden has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Freiburg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Weiden could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Weiden won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 3.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Weiden won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 3.7:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
12	Freiburg	7	1	1	2	3	12:19	7
13	Weiden	7	1	0	2	4	16:32	5

Last Results with these Odds

EHC Freiburg - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 27.09%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. EV Weiden
German DEL2
25.01.26	Weiden - Starbulls Rosenheim	3:1 ✺
23.01.26	Kaufbeuren - Weiden	2:3 penalties ✺
20.01.26	Dusseldorfer EG - Weiden	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Bietigheim-Bissingen - Weiden	3:1 ✺
16.01.26	Weiden - Regensburg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLL
- EHC Freiburg
German DEL2
25.01.26	Crimmitschau - EHC Freiburg	2:1 OT ✺
23.01.26	EHC Freiburg - Rote Teufel Bad Nauheim	3:4 ✺
20.01.26	EHC Freiburg - Regensburg	4:1 ✺
18.01.26	EHC Freiburg - Starbulls Rosenheim	1:3 ✺
16.01.26	Krefeld Pinguine - EHC Freiburg	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German DEL2
30.12.25	EHC Freiburg - Weiden	4:2
16.11.25	Weiden - EHC Freiburg	3:2
26.09.25	EHC Freiburg - Weiden	0:4
02.02.25	EHC Freiburg - Weiden	3:4
28.12.24	Weiden - EHC Freiburg	5:2
01.11.24	EHC Freiburg - Weiden	2:1
27.09.24	Weiden - EHC Freiburg	3:2

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