The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wings Arlanda 19.9%
Draw 18.7%
Surahammar 61.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.4%
20.7%
54%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.5%
22.4%
50.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wings Arlanda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wings Arlanda's form might have worsened.
Surahammar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Surahammar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wings Arlanda than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wings Arlanda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surahammar than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Surahammar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Wings Arlanda - Surahammar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
00:45, 0 - 1, Lundstrom T. (G), Semjonovs R. (A), Naslund S. (A2)
02:30, 1 - 1, Johansson S. (G), Karling N. (A),
19:26, 1 - 2, Rydell L. (G), Naslund S. (A), Eneroth J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arlanda won 2.
Arlanda has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Surahammar is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Surahammar could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Surahammar is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Surahammar in today's match, at odds of 1.67.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Arlanda has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:26 (averaging 3:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arlanda against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:13 goals (averaging 3.5:3.3 per game).