Match Info

Swiss League

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Eishalle Deutweg (Winterthur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	Winterthur		Arosa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.89	4.25	2.95	Watch
	1.96	4.26	2.58
	2.06	4.52	2.76	Watch
	1.85	4.2	2.9
	1.88	4.1	3.11
	1.86	4.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.69)	4.26 ↓ (4.27)	2.86 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winterthur
47.2%

Draw
21.2%

Arosa
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

21.7%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

21.3%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Winterthur's performance.

Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Winterthur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Winterthur - Arosa Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Winterthur will win (votes: 12 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Winterthur: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Winterthur will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Brodecky D. (G)	13. Simeoni D. (G)
37. Ugazzi N.	9. Wuthrich N.
27. Steiner M.	4. Lichtensteiger Y.
85. Leone R.	26. Bedolla G.
24. Molin E.	23. Bukarts R.
82. Madsen D.	16. Guignard A.
Line 2
55. Ortenszky T.	12. Muller S.
59. Deussen L.	66. Minder T.
44. Staiger A. (C)	63. Gredig R.
9. Ogi G.	67. Waidacher B.
10. Antenen Y. G.	65. Parree J.
Line 3
62. Warmbrodt N. Y.	44. Wegmuller N.
33. Scilacci N.	34. Salamin J.
14. Blaser J.	79. Bleiker M.
89. Furrer S.	29. Mariethoz M.
41. Gull J.	77. Revesz M.
Line 4
97. Mauchle B.	10. Rubin L.
46. Marti R.	24. Michalik T.
22. Vlcek T.	40. Jabola J. (C)
94. Studer J.	78. Szczepaniec D.
Substitutes
26. Stettler D. (G)	30. Perrin L. (G)
	18. Schwitter S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
19:37, 1 - 0, Madsen D. (G), Molin E. (A), Ugazzi N. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
15:25, 1 - 1, Bukarts R. (G), Wegmuller N. (A), Rubin L. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
01:00, 1 - 2, Bukarts R. (G), Gredig R. (A), Minder T. (A2)
12:35, 2 - 2, Studer J. (G), Furrer S. (A), Steiner M. (A2)
15:04, 2 - 3, Revesz M. (G), Salamin J. (A), Bleiker M. (A2)
17:09, 3 - 3, Ugazzi N. (G), Molin E. (A), Madsen D. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Parree J. (Penalty Shot),
1, Madsen D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Gredig R. (Penalty Shot),
2, Leone R. (Penalty Shot),
3, Waidacher B. (Penalty Shot),
3, Antenen Y. G. (Penalty Shot),
4, Guignard A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Molin E. (Penalty Shot),
5, Revesz M. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Arosa is Relegated to MyHockey League

Winterthur has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arosa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Arosa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Winterthur has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Arosa	6	2	0	0	4	14:27	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rychenberg Winterthur
Swiss League Hockey
08.02.26	Winterthur - Thurgau	5:4 ✺
07.02.26	Thurgau - Winterthur	7:2 ✺
31.01.26	Chur - Winterthur	2:3 OT ✺
30.01.26	GCK Lions - Winterthur	6:0 ✺
20.01.26	Olten - Winterthur	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLWLL
- EHC Arosa
Swiss League Hockey
30.01.26	Chur - Arosa	5:1 ✺
27.01.26	Arosa - Visp	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Arosa - La Chaux-de-Fonds	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	GCK Lions - Arosa	5:3 ✺
18.01.26	Arosa - EHC Basel	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss League Hockey
10.01.26	Winterthur - Arosa	4:3
06.12.25	Arosa - Winterthur	1:6
19.10.25	Arosa - Winterthur	4:3 OT
12.09.25	Winterthur - Arosa	3:0

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