The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chur 68%
Draw 17.1%
Arosa 14.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69%
16.8%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.4%
17.7%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chur than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
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Lineups
Line 1
38. Neckar M. (G)
13. Simeoni D. (G)
81. Bartholet D.
62. Warmbrodt N. Y.
64. Weber S. (A)
64. Muller S.
89. Rentsch N.
4. Jabola J. (A)
15. Dahler R. (C)
40. Weber G.
11. Wyss L.
95. Orlov M.
Line 2
91. Smons S.
39. Minder T.
8. Cantin N.
77. Boss D. (A)
88. Berri F.
97. Krakauskas E. (C)
42. Ramsauer R.
22. Vlcek T.
47. Brunner P.
81. Volejnicek D.
Line 3
77. Despont V.
88. Rotheli M.
21. Guggenheim B.
9. Morson G.
86. Pekar M.
35. Hunziker N.
37. Bont K.
23. Aebi S.
22. Frei L. (A)
29. Mariethoz M.
Line 4
2. Baer S.
44. Zanolari A.
62. Aeschlimann M.
58. Mlynar S.
9. Melnalksnis R.
96. Krakauskas T.
87. Jenni T.
37. Lehmann L.
41. Gull J.
Substitutes
51. Brun A. (G)
74. Wieczorek J. (G)
18. Hammerer G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
08:52, 1 - 0, Pekar M. (G), Smons S. (A),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
08:53, 2 - 0, Rentsch N. (G), Aeschlimann M. (A),
12:56, 3 - 0, Ramsauer R. (G), Smons S. (A),
13:28, 3 - 1, Aebi S. (G), Boss D. (A),
16:59, 4 - 1, Bont K. (G), Pekar M. (A), Weber S. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:12, 5 - 1, Jenni T. (G), Despont V. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chur won 5.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Recently, Arosa has had a run of games away from home.
In this match, Chur enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Chur has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:5 (averaging 3.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chur against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:1 goals (averaging 4:0.3 per game).