Match Info

VHL

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Yubileiny (Orsk)


	Yuzhny Ural Orsk		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	3.08	3.75	2.08
	3	3.65	2.03
	3.05	4.01	2.03	Watch
	3	3.9	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.9)	3.83 ↑ (3.7)	2.04 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
30.5%

Draw
24.1%

Chelmet
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

25.4%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

28.3%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelmet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Nikitin V. (G)	60. Sherstnev S. (G)
88. Safonov I.	77. Rodionov M.
15. Putilov A.	5. Borodkin A. (A)
82. Nizovkin M.	29. Mokin M. (A)
19. Suslov K. (A)	90. Golovnyov Y.
55. Grebenshchikov S.	14. Zinovyev I. (C)
Line 2
96. Lineitsev D.	81. Isakov Y.
52. Vasin I.	21. Pronichkin A.
74. Lapshin I.	97. Matyushin A.
76. Boychuk D. (A)	57. Telegin N.
7. Gimatov E. (C)	37. Udot A.
Line 3
65. Zotov F.	80. Semenikhin M.
18. Alexeyev D.	18. Mikanovich D.
10. Shindyaev K.	34. Gusmanov F.
13. Bryntsev M.	73. Mits Z.
9. Ugolnikov I.	46. Shaveko V.
Line 4
77. Salikov G.	87. Anufriyenko N.
85. Manin Y.	26. Kovalenko A.
79. Timashev I.	44. Kozhevnikov K.
72. Rvachev V.	41. Eust V.
	50. Yekimov N.
Substitutes
91. Pastukh V. (G)	93. Mosharov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:10, 1 - 0, Boychuk D. (G), Vasin I. (A), Gimatov E. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:39, 1 - 1, Zinovyev I. (G), Telegin N. (A), Rodionov M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 2)
1, Gimatov E. (Penalty Shot),
1, Telegin N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Boychuk D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Mokin M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Grebenshchikov S. (Penalty Shot),
3, Udot A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Rvachev V. (Penalty Shot),
4, Matyushin A. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Chelmet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Yuzhny Ural has had a series of home games.

Chelmet might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Yuzhny Ural will win today's game, with odds of 3.23.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 57:51. (average 2.9:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Yuzhny Ural won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:24. (average 3:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Orsk	12	5	3	3	1	35:22	19
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	11	2	1	2	6	20:44	8

Last Results with these Odds

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.36%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Chelmet - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.27%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
04.09.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - CSK VVS Samara	4:1 ✺
27.08.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Kristall Saratov	3:1 ✺
26.08.26	Dizel Penza - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2 penalties ✺
09.08.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - AKM	4:3 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWLW
- HC Chelmet
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	Rubin Tyumen - Chelmet	3:2 AET ✺
26.08.26	Chelmet - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	4:5 ✺
25.08.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelmet	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Chelmet - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	5:1 ✺
14.08.26	Chelmet - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
16.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	2:3
01.12.25	Chelmet - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:4 OT
03.03.25	Chelmet - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:1
22.09.24	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	1:3
28.12.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	2:1
14.10.23	Chelmet - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:1
20.12.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	4:3 penalties

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