Match Info

VHL

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Yuzhny Ural Orsk		CSK VVS Samara

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.51	3.12
	1.84	3.4	3.05
	1.72	4.24	3.99	Watch
	1.83	3.95	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.93)	3.78 ↑ (3.63)	3.4 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
49.6%

Draw
23.9%

CSK VVS Samara
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

24.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.3%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

CSK VVS Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yuzhny Ural Orsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSK VVS Samara than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSK VVS Samara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - CSK VVS Samara Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Yuzhny Ural will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yuzhny Ural (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Nikitin V. (G)	79. Kiselyov Y. (G)
93. Zhurakov D.	58. Shumilov V.
15. Puchkov Y.	24. Chibrikov I. (A)
9. Ugolnikov I.	10. Odinokov S.
19. Suslov K. (A)	19. Galimov A. (C)
55. Grebenshchikov S.	9. Axyonov A.
Line 2
18. Alexeyev D.	52. Zharkov I.
52. Vasin I.	34. Ostrovsky S.
74. Lapshin I.	7. Glazunov M.
76. Boychuk D. (A)	13. Bazhukhin A.
7. Gimatov E. (C)	78. Gosudarev A.
Line 3
96. Lineitsev D.	44. Istyufeyev D.
88. Safonov I.	68. Onishko A.
80. Nikolenko L.	51. Rakhimov R.
13. Bryntsev M.	91. Nasyrov M.
82. Nizovkin M.	42. Galiyev E.
Line 4
77. Salikov G.	77. Paskin Y.
10. Shindyaev K.	55. Kruzhenkov G.
79. Timashev I.	47. Salnikov L. (A)
71. Beizak S.	95. Spiridonov D.
Substitutes
91. Pastukh V. (G)	62. Sementsov S.
	43. Volkov G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:07, 1 - 0, Suslov K. (G), Grebenshchikov S. (A), Ugolnikov I. (A2)
14:51, 2 - 0, Nikolenko L. (G), Puchkov Y. (A), Zhurakov D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:56, 3 - 0, Nikolenko L. (G), Bryntsev M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Yuzhny Ural could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Yuzhny Ural has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, CSK VVS has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Yuzhny Ural holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Yuzhny Ural has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 61:49 (averaging 3.1:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Yuzhny Ural against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 38:27 goals (averaging 3.2:2.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Orsk	12	5	3	3	1	35:22	19
25	CSK VVS	16	3	1	1	11	31:56	9

Last Results with these Odds

CSK VVS Samara - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 29.51%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
20.09.26	Khimik - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:5 AET ✺
18.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2 penalties ✺
16.09.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:7 ✺
14.09.26	SKA-VMF - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WLWWL
- CSK VVS Samara
VHL
21.09.26	CSK VVS Samara - Molot Perm	6:4 ✺
19.09.26	CSK VVS Samara - Toros Neftekamsk	0:4 ✺
16.09.26	CSK VVS Samara - Izhstal	4:1 ✺
14.09.26	CSK VVS Samara - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	Kristall Saratov - CSK VVS Samara	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - CSK VVS Samara	4:1
VHL
21.02.26	CSK VVS Samara - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:0
23.09.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - CSK VVS Samara	1:2 penalties
19.02.25	CSK VVS Samara - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:3 OT
30.09.24	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - CSK VVS Samara	6:4
30.11.23	CSK VVS Samara - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:0
12.11.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - CSK VVS Samara	1:0

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - CSK VVS Samara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide