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Current Win Probability
Yuzhny Ural Orsk 33.9%
Draw 24.4%
Dinamo St. Petersburg 41.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
24.8%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
25.6%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yuzhny Ural Orsk's form might have worsened.
Dinamo St. Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo St. Petersburg's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yuzhny Ural Orsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo St. Petersburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)
22. Velmakin Y. (G)
29. Papst R.
67. Sarayev V.
9. Sitnikov V.
26. Salakhov M.
91. Suslov K.
97. Ugolnikov I.
41. Paramonov D.
11. Yezhov I.
11. Mylnikov D.
9. Davydov D.
Line 2
88. Krylov I.
79. Tikhonov M.
27. Ostrovsky S.
60. Patalakha M.
77. Zakharov I.
96. Zinchenko I.
16. Rubtsov S.
93. Zugan D.
15. Putilov A.
23. Kotkov V.
Line 3
50. Pozhidaev A.
14. Nurgaliyev E.
18. Zotov F.
7. Kozlovsky Y.
17. Kovalchuk P.
99. Boikov L.
96. Kurkin M.
72. Prokhorov D.
79. Timashev I.
31. Mikhailov V.
Line 4
28. Samokhvalov M.
70. Rodionov Y.
23. Yefimov I.
78. Nechayev A.
8. Vikulin K.
47. Grebenshchikov S.
8. Ogirchuk D.
Substitutes
35. Snytko A. (G)
88. Kulikov D. (G)
89. Ushakov Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
08:03, 0 - 1, Ugolnikov I. (G), Grebenshchikov S. (A), Tikhonov M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
14:26, 0 - 2, Ugolnikov I. (G), Zugan D. (A),
19:29, 0 - 3, Yezhov I. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Dinamo SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Yuzhny Ural has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 51:53. (average 2.7:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Yuzhny Ural won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 2.9:3).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Orsk
12
5
3
3
1
35:22
19
19
Dinamo St. Petersburg
13
5
1
1
6
37:42
13
Last Results with these Odds
Yuzhny Ural Orsk - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.96%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Dinamo St. Petersburg - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.25%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.