Match Info

VHL

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Dvorets Sporta Arktika (Norilsk)


	Norilsk		Yuzhny Ural Orsk

	1	X	2
	2.11	3.52	3.04
	2.1	3.84	3.02	Watch
	2.05	3.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.05)	3.74 ↓ (3.95)	2.94 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norilsk
44.1%

Draw
24.6%

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

23.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

20.6%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Norilsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Nikitin V. (G)	32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)
3. Kudryashov I.	29. Papst R.
51. Popov O.	9. Sitnikov V.
63. Yemets I.	11. Mylnikov D. (A)
92. Yakovlev Y. (A)	91. Suslov K. (C)
71. Golodnyuk S. (A)	51. Kulyash D.
Line 2
44. Kovalev I.	27. Ostrovsky S.
18. Alexeyev D.	88. Krylov I. (A)
56. Mokin N. (C)	72. Rvachev V.
10. Lipanov A.	15. Putilov A.
7. Kirileichenko M.	77. Zakharov I.
Line 3
21. Kolomiytsev I.	50. Pozhidaev A.
72. Korchemkin D.	18. Zotov F.
69. Skorikov D.	16. Rubtsov S.
86. Melnichenko K.	96. Kurkin M.
19. Aksenov A.	17. Kovalchuk P.
Line 4
82. Bulychyov G.	8. Vikulin K.
99. Kandakov D.	92. Gatiyatulin I.
58. Yadykin Y.	41. Paramonov D.
14. Sinyatkin S.	79. Timashev I.
	10. Shindyaev K.
Substitutes
37. Botov M. (G)	35. Snytko A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:49, 1 - 0, Golodnyuk S. (G), Kolomiytsev I. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Norilsk is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Yuzhny Ural is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Norilsk might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Yuzhny Ural will win today's game, with odds of 2.93.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 2.2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	HC Norilsk	14	7	1	2	4	32:32	18
7	Orsk	10	5	2	3	0	33:18	17

Last Results with these Odds

Norilsk - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.94%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Norilsk
VHL
05.02.26	Norilsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	0:4 ✺
03.02.26	Norilsk - Chelmet	2:3 ✺
01.02.26	Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK	0:1 penalties ✺
28.01.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Norilsk	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Molot Perm - Norilsk	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
04.02.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:1 ✺
02.02.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:1 penalties ✺
31.01.26	Dynamo-Altay - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:2 OT ✺
26.01.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Tambov	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Rostov	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
12.10.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Norilsk	2:1
14.03.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Norilsk	4:2
05.09.24	Norilsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:0
18.12.23	Norilsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:6
24.10.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Norilsk	1:2

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