Match Info

Polish Hockey League - Round 3

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		GKS Tychy

	1	X	2
	3.10	4.40	1.80
	3	3.85	1.9
	2.7	4.04	2.21
	3.11	4.3	1.88	Watch
	2.4	4	2.4
	3.23	4.1	1.84
	3	4	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.29)	4.1 ↓ (4.15)	1.98 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
31.3%

Draw
22.4%

GKS Tychy
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

22%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

22.7%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GKS Tychy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Tychy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Kaarlehto K. (G)	33. Fucik T. (G)
7. Olkkonen J.	67. Pociecha B.
59. Sozanski M.	20. Kovar L.
98. Bernacki M.	84. Knuutinen H.
57. Heikkinen V.	14. Pas D.
87. Peresunko A.	88. Lyszczarczyk A.
Line 2
77. Narog M.	2. Kakkonen V.
6. Ciura B.	39. Viinikainen O.
18. Roine M.	91. Jeziorski B.
88. Savilahti E.	44. Ainali A.
8. Chmielewski A.	86. Kerkkanen J.
Line 3
51. Wanacki J.	69. Bryk M.
71. Kotlorz M.	4. Kaskinen O.
94. Sirkia V.	29. Janik J.
27. Zachariasz O.	28. Kielbicki S.
13. Brynkus S.	11. Goscinski M.
Line 4
9. Bilas K.	16. Sobecki K.
10. Ciepielewski P.	3. Sertti L.
55. Gromadzki A.	10. Bagienko A.
97. Dawid M.	87. Kucharski S.
96. Musiol J.	7. Lewandowski S.
Substitutes
21. Miarka M. (G)	24. Chabior S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
09:53, 0 - 1, Knuutinen H. (G), Lyszczarczyk A. (A),
17:39, 1 - 1, Olkkonen J. (G), Sozanski M. (A), Chmielewski A. (A2)
19:12, 1 - 2, Kielbicki S. (G), Pociecha B. (A), Kerkkanen J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
12:43, 1 - 3, Lyszczarczyk A. (G), Kakkonen V. (A), Pas D. (A2)
19:11, 1 - 4, Lyszczarczyk A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie won 0.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

GKS Tychy may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, GKS Tychy has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with GKS Tychy holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Zagłębie in today's match, at odds of 3.25.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zagłębie has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:66 (averaging 2.2:3.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zagłębie against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 27:34 goals (averaging 2.5:3.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	8	7	0	0	1	39:15	21
4	Tychy	8	5	0	0	3	31:17	15

Last Results with these Odds

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 27.75%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polska Liga Hokejowa
15.09.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - ComArch Cracovia	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
09.09.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - UKH Unia Oświęcim	3:4 OT ✺
01.09.26	Zvolen - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:1 ✺
27.08.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Frýdek-Místek	5:4 AET ✺
21.08.26	Liptovský Mikuláš - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWL
- GKS Tychy Hockey
Polska Liga Hokejowa
18.09.26	GKS Tychy - GKS Katowice	6:2 ✺
15.09.26	GKS Tychy - MMKS Podhale	10:1 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
12.09.26	GKS Tychy - Genève-Servette	0:1 ✺
10.09.26	GKS Tychy - Davos	2:4 ✺
05.09.26	HC Plzeň 1929 - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polska Liga Hokejowa
21.03.26	GKS Tychy - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:1
20.03.26	GKS Tychy - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	4:0
17.03.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Tychy	0:1
16.03.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Tychy	2:5
30.01.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Tychy	1:4
11.01.26	GKS Tychy - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	5:2
02.12.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Tychy	2:1

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