Match Info

Optibet Hokeja Liga

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Jelgavas ledus halle (Jelgava)


	Zemgale LLU		HS Rīga

	1	X	2
	1.06	9.25	16.50
	1.12	8.05	12
	1.11	8.38	13.47
	1.06	10	20	Watch
	1.05	8.4	21
	1.04	11.5	18
	1.05	8.8	23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↑ (1.06)	9.2 ↓ (10)	17.71 ↓ (20)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zemgale LLU
85%

Draw
9.9%

HS Rīga
5.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.3%

9.1%

4.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zemgale LLU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

HS Rīga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Zemgale LLU - HS Rīga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ozols A. (G)	1. Voris J. (G)
84. Antons M.	11. Ablazevics E. (A)
59. Bajaruns L. (A)	12. Apsitis A.
47. Duklavs A.	14. Biskins A.
17. Fjodorovs D.	22. Biters I.
9. Gricinskis G. (C)	7. Cirkins J.
7. Jirgens H.	20. Gaidulis M.
28. Kapura R.	6. Kandis K. (A)
77. Karasa A.	8. Kozachkov I.
18. Klavins A.	34. Mezins M.
3. Kovalevskis K.	23. Orlovs A.
15. Mendzins K. G.	3. Pastars M. (C)
23. Millers G.	4. Pastars T.
10. Novikovs A.	28. Paulins J.
6. Rajala A.	15. Paurs F.
13. Rokis K. (A)	37. Sirjajevs K.
5. Seilis P.	44. Stepins B.
19. Streikiss M.	17. Strelnieks A.
16. Vitols M.	38. Vengers N.
11. Vorona R.	24. Zaicevs I.
8. Zabusovs P.	19. Zile R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
10:25, 1 - 0, Seilis P. (G), Karasa A. (A), Gricinskis G. (A2)
14:44, 2 - 0, Bajaruns L. (G), Seilis P. (A), Millers G. (A2)
18:50, 3 - 0, Zabusovs P. (G), Karasa A. (A), Fjodorovs D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
14:53, 4 - 0, Antons M. (G), Seilis P. (A), Gricinskis G. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
01:33, 5 - 0, Novikovs A. (G), Fjodorovs D. (A),
05:00, 6 - 0, Zabusovs P. (G), Novikovs A. (A),
12:38, 7 - 0, Novikovs A. (G), Zabusovs P. (A), Jirgens H. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zemgale won 5.

HS Rīga is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Zemgale could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, HS Rīga has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The betting markets point to Zemgale as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zemgale has recorded 19 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 115:29 (averaging 5.8:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zemgale against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 65:11 goals (averaging 6.5:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Zemgale	6	3	1	0	2	23:17	8
6	HS Riga	10	2	1	0	7	17:41	6

Last Results with these Odds

HS Rīga - the odds 20 are the expected chance of winning is 4.57%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Zemgale LLU
Latvian Hokeja Liga
24.09.26	Punks Vilnius - Zemgale LLU	5:6 AET ✺
19.09.26	Zemgale LLU - Liepāja	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.26	Mogo - Zemgale LLU	4:11 ✺
15.08.26	Zemgale LLU - TuTo	2:3 AET ✺
Latvian Hokeja Liga
16.04.26	Mogo - Zemgale LLU	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLL
- HS Rīga
Latvian Hokeja Liga
27.09.26	HS Rīga - Panter Tallinn	3:5 ✺
26.09.26	HS Rīga - Panter Tallinn	2:1 AET ✺
16.09.26	Panter Tallinn - HS Rīga	4:2 ✺
12.09.26	HS Rīga - Mogo	1:9 ✺
11.09.26	HS Rīga - Kyiv Capitals	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Hokeja Liga
11.03.26	Zemgale LLU - HS Rīga	4:3
29.01.26	HS Rīga - Zemgale LLU	1:2
18.01.26	HS Rīga - Zemgale LLU	1:5
03.12.25	Zemgale LLU - HS Rīga	8:1
08.10.25	Zemgale LLU - HS Rīga	8:1
15.03.25	HS Rīga - Zemgale LLU	4:8
08.03.25	Zemgale LLU - HS Rīga	5:1

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