Match Info

VHL

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: CSKA Arena (Moscow) 🌤️ ...


	Zvezda Moscow		Dizel Penza

	1	X	2
	1.92	4	3.38
	1.92	4.13	3.28	Watch
	1.81	4.07	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)	4.07 ↓ (4.1)	3.4 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda Moscow
49.6%

Draw
23%

Dizel Penza
27.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.5%

22.8%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

23.1%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Zvezda Moscow - Dizel Penza Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zvezda Moscow will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Gluschenko R. (G)	31. Kudashev D. (G)
18. Makarov N.	98. Lyulko V.
8. Bobryashov N.	49. Denisevich B.
19. Prokhorov A. (C)	17. Shiksatdarov I.
98. Pankratov S. (A)	47. Bobylyov V.
79. Dronyk V.	11. Makhanovsky P. (A)
Line 2
32. Rogov I.	68. Rudakov G.
49. Bryutov Y. (A)	75. Pogorishny O. (A)
70. Yanchenko I.	23. Sidlyarov D. (C)
81. Lapin S.	71. Kolmykov M.
62. Shalyshkin N.	10. Popov D.
Line 3
82. Smyshlyayev P.	83. Sukhov S.
6. Gordeyev M.	6. Lukichyov A.
39. Kuzminov Y.	41. Lukin V.
75. Averochkin M.	19. Ryzhkov M.
47. Shamshurin S.	97. Borisenkov A.
Line 4
80. Barabosha A.	54. Filippov T.
97. Churkin A.	34. Larichev V.
69. Maistrenko O.	69. Boluchevsky A.
87. Yapparov Y.	13. Zakirov T.
Substitutes
64. Andreyanov P. (G)	27. Arzamastsev A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
14:25, 0 - 1, Shiksatdarov I. (G), Ryzhkov M. (A), Lukin V. (A2)
19:54, 1 - 1, Dronyk V. (G), Pankratov S. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
17:16, 1 - 2, Zakirov T. (G), Sukhov S. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:21, 2 - 2, Prokhorov A. (G), Churkin A. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Dronyk V. (Penalty Shot),
1, Lukin V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Yapparov Y. (Penalty Shot),
2, Ryzhkov M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Maistrenko O. (Penalty Shot),
3, Zakirov T. (Penalty Shot),
4, Prokhorov A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Shiksatdarov I. (Penalty Shot),
5, Churkin A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Sidlyarov D. (Penalty Shot),
6, Lukin V. (Penalty Shot),
6, Maistrenko O. (Penalty Shot),
7, Shiksatdarov I. (Penalty Shot),
7, Yapparov Y. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 3.

In recent matches, Zvezda Moscow has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dizel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dizel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Zvezda Moscow could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 57:48. (average 2.9:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Zvezda Moscow won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:24. (average 3.5:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
05.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - Ryazan	0:1 ✺
03.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - AKM	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
24.08.25	Zvezda Moscow - Buran Voronezh	2:5 ✺
20.08.25	Zvezda Moscow - Tambov	4:0 ✺
15.08.25	Zvezda Moscow - Gornyak-UGMK	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWW
- Dizel Penza
VHL
02.09.25	Dizel Penza - Kristall Saratov	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.25	Dizel Penza - MHK Ryazan	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Dizel Penza - Tambov	3:2 OT ✺
19.08.25	Kristall Saratov - Dizel Penza	0:3 ✺
17.08.25	Dizel Penza - Kristall Saratov	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
06.02.25	Zvezda Moscow - Dizel Penza	3:2 penalties
18.10.24	Dizel Penza - Zvezda Moscow	3:2
24.12.23	Zvezda Moscow - Dizel Penza	4:1
12.10.23	Dizel Penza - Zvezda Moscow	1:3
19.12.22	Dizel Penza - Zvezda Moscow	2:1
25.10.22	Zvezda Moscow - Dizel Penza	1:4
15.12.21	Dizel Penza - Zvezda Moscow	1:2

Zvezda Moscow - Dizel Penza