Match Info

VHL

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Zvezda Moscow		AKM

	1	X	2
	2.77	3.46	2.05
	2.65	3.35	1.99
	2.96	3.98	2.09	Watch
	2.85	3.75	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.98)	3.64 ↓ (3.98)	2.04 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda Moscow
31.7%

Draw
24.5%

AKM
43.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

23.5%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

24.2%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AKM than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Zvezda Moscow - AKM Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AKM (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Tabatchikov V. (G)	60. Kanarsky I. (G)
49. Bryutov Y.	86. Faizullin A.
23. Grushnikov A.	17. Trishin A. (C)
39. Sklokin M.	58. Mikhalyov V.
94. Tochilkin A.	95. Seliverstov A.
56. Vlasenko D.	24. Bryukvin V.
Line 2
36. Shelkov M.	52. Motygullin B.
7. Malyshev A.	23. Mineyev M.
19. Prokhorov A. (A)	55. Suvorov A.
98. Pankratov S. (A)	21. Kodola V.
53. Matveiko Y.	15. Yermakov Y.
Line 3
63. Martynov Y.	85. Kalabushkin E.
15. Alexandrov D. (C)	28. Bulygin D.
75. Averochkin M.	11. Rakhimullin D. (A)
74. Frolov N.	70. Mingaleyev D.
42. Savvateyev V.	10. Rozhkov N. A.
Line 4
73. Rusakov A.	69. Pautov Y. (A)
37. Mikhailov N.	32. Babenko A.
14. Gusniyev A.	16. Kulagin I.
87. Yapparov Y.	47. Skutin Y.
	7. Khanin M.
Substitutes
81. Kloberdanets M. (G)	40. Korzin Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
07:18, 0 - 1, Yermakov Y. (G), Trishin A. (A), Khanin M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:00, 1 - 1, Matveiko Y. (G), Rusakov A. (A), Malyshev A. (A2)
18:37, 1 - 2, Yermakov Y. (G), Suvorov A. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
10:51, 1 - 3, Rakhimullin D. (G), Mingaleyev D. (A), Rozhkov N. A. (A2)
16:06, 2 - 3, Grushnikov A. (G), Savvateyev V. (A), Averochkin M. (A2)
19:32, 3 - 3, Tochilkin A. (G), Bryutov Y. (A), Vlasenko D. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:22, 4 - 3, Vlasenko D. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 1.

Zvezda Moscow has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

AKM is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Zvezda Moscow could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, AKM has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with AKM holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Zvezda Moscow has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:35 (averaging 1.6:3.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zvezda Moscow against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 10:11 goals (averaging 1.7:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	AKM	20	10	1	5	4	58:48	27
25	Zvezda Moscow	17	3	4	1	9	42:53	15

Last Results with these Odds

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.43%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

AKM - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.03%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
20.10.26	Zvezda Moscow - Ryazan	2:3 ✺
12.10.26	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	5:2 ✺
10.10.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Zvezda Moscow	3:5 ✺
08.10.26	CSK VVS Samara - Zvezda Moscow	2:3 ✺
02.10.26	Zvezda Moscow - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWWL
- AKM Tula
VHL
20.10.26	Khimik - AKM	2:3 penalties ✺
16.10.26	AKM - Gornyak-UGMK	4:1 ✺
14.10.26	AKM - Chelmet	4:2 ✺
12.10.26	AKM - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	AKM - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
12.03.26	AKM - Zvezda Moscow	4:1
03.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - AKM	1:2
14.12.24	AKM - Zvezda Moscow	6:3
02.12.24	Zvezda Moscow - AKM	2:1 OT
01.12.23	Zvezda Moscow - AKM	0:2
10.11.23	AKM - Zvezda Moscow	6:1
22.11.22	AKM - Zvezda Moscow	5:3

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