Match Info

FLYWEIGHT - MEN: UFC (World)

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Jeunesse Arena (Rio de Janeiro)


	Alexandre Pantoja		Steve Erceg

	1	2
	1.53	2.63
	1.54	2.5
	1.5	2.55
	1.59	2.46
	1.5	2.6
	1.45	2.74
	1.5	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.39)	2.58 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Pantoja
63%

Steve Erceg
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Pantoja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandre Pantoja's form might have worsened.

Steve Erceg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Steve Erceg's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.6%	0%	7.4%

Alexandre Pantoja - Steve Erceg Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexandre Pantoja will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.71% – 100%.

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Preview

Pantoja Alexandre defending title.

Pantoja will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the fighters did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Pantoja
MMA
16.12.23	Alexandre Pantoja - Brandon Royval	Pantoja A. win ✺
08.07.23	Brandon Moreno - Alexandre Pantoja	Pantoja A. win ✺
30.07.22	Alexandre Pantoja - Alex Perez	Pantoja A. - 1st Round TKO ✺
21.08.21	Alexandre Pantoja - Brandon Royval	Pantoja A. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
06.02.21	Alexandre Pantoja - Manel Kape	Pantoja A. win Pantoja A. - Round 3 / 5: Points ✺
- Steve Erceg
MMA
02.03.24	Matt Schnell - Steve Erceg	Erceg S. - 2nd Round KO ✺
11.11.23	Steve Erceg - Alessandro Costa	Erceg S. win ✺
11.11.23	Matt Schnell - Steve Erceg	Canceled ✺
10.06.23	David Dvořák - Steve Erceg	Erceg S. win ✺
20.05.23	Clayton Carpenter - Steve Erceg	Canceled ✺

Alexandre Pantoja - Steve Erceg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Alexandre Pantoja - Steve Erceg Predictions

Preview

Form

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