Match Info

CATCHWEIGHT - MEN: UFC (World)

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: ANB Arena (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Peru	Fox Sports 2
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Bogdan Grad		Lucas Alexander

	1	2
	2.05	1.8
	1.99	1.9
			Watch
	2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.79)	1.83 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bogdan Grad
47.7%

Lucas Alexander
52.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bogdan Grad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bogdan Grad's form might have worsened.

Lucas Alexander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucas Alexander's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	0%	26.1%

Bogdan Grad - Lucas Alexander Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Grad will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Alexander will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grad: 56% – 91.8%.

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Preview

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both fighters.

Recently, the fighters did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Alexander
MMA
18.11.23	Jeka Saragih - Lucas Alexander	Saragih J. A. - 1st Round KO ✺
04.11.23	David Onama - Lucas Alexander	Canceled ✺
25.03.23	Steven Peterson - Lucas Alexander	Alexander L. win ✺
15.10.22	Joanderson Brito - Lucas Alexander	Brito J. - 1st Round TKO ✺

Bogdan Grad - Lucas Alexander: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Bogdan Grad - Lucas Alexander Predictions

Preview

Form

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