Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Accor Arena (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	RMC Sport 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Fox Sports
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Bolaji Oki		Mason Jones

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Bolaji Oki
42.6%

Mason Jones
57.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolaji Oki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bolaji Oki's form might have worsened.

Mason Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mason Jones's recent form is better than expected.

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Oki will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Jones will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jones (votes: 2 - 100%).

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The chances of victory for both fighters are nearly identical in this match.

The fighters have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolaji Oki
MMA
31.05.25	Bolaji Oki - Michael Aswell	Oki B. win ✺
31.05.25	Marquel Mederos - Bolaji Oki	Canceled ✺
01.02.25	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady - Bolaji Oki	Canceled ✺
28.09.24	Bolaji Oki - Chris Duncan	Duncan C. - 1st Round TKO ✺
10.02.24	Damir Hadzovic - Bolaji Oki	Canceled ✺
- Mason Jones
MMA
03.05.25	Jeremy Stephens - Mason Jones	Jones M. win ✺
25.07.24	Mason Jones - Michael Pagani	Jones M. win ✺
24.02.24	Mason Jones - Bryce Logan	Jones M. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
14.10.23	Mason Jones - Yann Liasse	Jones M. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
29.07.23	Mason Jones - Alexandre Ribeiro	Jones M. - 1st Round TKO ✺

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Bolaji Oki - Mason Jones: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide