Match Info

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: RAC Arena (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Fox Sports
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Carlos Ulberg		Dominick Reyes

	1	2
	1.4	3
	1.38	3.15
	1.41	3.09
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.39)	3.08 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Ulberg
68.8%

Dominick Reyes
31.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Ulberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Dominick Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Carlos Ulberg - Dominick Reyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ulberg will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Reyes will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulberg (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Reyes (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Preview

In this match, Ulberg is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ulberg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Ulberg
MMA
22.03.25	Jan Blachowicz - Carlos Ulberg	Ulberg C. win ✺
23.11.24	Volkan Oezdemir - Carlos Ulberg	Ulberg C. win ✺
29.06.24	Jamahal Hill - Carlos Ulberg	Canceled ✺
29.06.24	Anthony Smith - Carlos Ulberg	Canceled ✺
11.05.24	Alonzo Menifield - Carlos Ulberg	Ulberg C. - 1st Round TKO ✺
- Dominick Reyes
MMA
12.04.25	Nikita Krylov - Dominick Reyes	Reyes D. - 1st Round KO ✺
07.12.24	Dominick Reyes - Anthony Smith	Reyes D. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
08.06.24	Dominick Reyes - Dustin Jacoby	Reyes D. - 1st Round TKO ✺
30.03.24	Dominick Reyes - Carlos Ulberg	Canceled ✺
20.01.24	Dominick Reyes - Carlos Ulberg	Canceled ✺

Latest Head to Head

MMA
30.03.24	Dominick Reyes - Carlos Ulberg	Canceled
20.01.24	Dominick Reyes - Carlos Ulberg	Canceled

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominick Reyes
MMA
24.10.26	Azamat Murzakanov - Dominick Reyes	✺

Carlos Ulberg - Dominick Reyes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide