Match Info

FLYWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Shanghai Indoor Stadium (Shanghai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Charles Johnson		Loneer Kavanagh

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Charles Johnson
31.5%

Loneer Kavanagh
68.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charles Johnson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-36.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charles Johnson's form might have worsened.

Loneer Kavanagh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+36.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Loneer Kavanagh's recent form is better than expected.

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In this match, Johnson is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the fighters did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charles Johnson
MMA
01.03.25	Charles Johnson - Ramazan Temurov	Temirov R. win ✺
19.10.24	Charles Johnson - Su Mudaerji	Johnson C. win ✺
13.07.24	Joshua Van - Charles Johnson	Johnson C. - 3rd Round KO ✺
11.05.24	Charles Johnson - Jake Hadley	Johnson C. win ✺
03.02.24	Azat Maksum - Charles Johnson	Johnson C. win ✺
- Loneer Kavanagh
MMA
22.03.25	Loneer Kavanagh - Felipe dos Santos	Kavanagh L. win ✺
23.11.24	Loneer Kavanagh - Jose Ochoa	Kavanagh L. win ✺
30.03.24	Loneer Kavanagh - Shawn Marcos Claudina Da Silva	Kavanagh L. win ✺
21.07.23	Loneer Kavanagh - Shawn Marcos Claudina Da Silva	Canceled ✺
17.03.23	Loneer Kavanagh - Davide Scarano	Kavanagh L. - 3rd Round TKO ✺

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loneer Kavanagh
MMA
24.10.26	Loneer Kavanagh - Ramazan Temurov	✺

Charles Johnson - Loneer Kavanagh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide