Match Info

WELTERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kaseya Center (Miami, FL) 🌤️ ...


	Charlie Radtke		Francisco Prado

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Charlie Radtke
61%

Francisco Prado
39%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlie Radtke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlie Radtke's form might have worsened.

Francisco Prado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francisco Prado's recent form is better than expected.

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Prado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Radtke is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the fighters.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlie Radtke
MMA
04.04.26	Charlie Radtke - José Henrique	Canceled
01.11.25	Charlie Radtke - Daniel Frunza	Radtke C. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
10.05.25	Mike Malott - Charlie Radtke	Malott M. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
09.11.24	Matthew Semelsberger - Charlie Radtke	Radtke C. - 1st Round TKO ✺
08.06.24	Charlie Radtke - Carlos Prates	Prates C. - 1st Round KO ✺
- Francisco Prado
MMA
19.07.25	Francisco Prado - Nikolay Veretennikov	Veretennikov N. win ✺
08.02.25	Jake Matthews - Francisco Prado	Matthews J. win ✺
24.02.24	Daniel Zellhuber - Francisco Prado	Zellhuber D. win ✺
15.07.23	Ottman Azaitar - Francisco Prado	Prado F. - 1st Round TKO ✺
11.02.23	Jamie Mullarkey - Francisco Prado	Mullarkey J. win ✺

Charlie Radtke - Francisco Prado: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide