Match Info

BANTAMWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: RAC Arena (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN 2


	Colby Thicknesse		Josias Musasa

	1	2
	2.3	1.63
	2.25	1.65
	2.37	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.37)	1.64 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colby Thicknesse
41.6%

Josias Musasa
58.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colby Thicknesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Josias Musasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Colby Thicknesse - Josias Musasa Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Thicknesse will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Musasa will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thicknesse: 73.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Colby Thicknesse will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

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Preview

Musasa could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the fighters.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colby Thicknesse
MMA
08.02.25	Colby Thicknesse - Aleksandre Topuria	Topuria A. win ✺
- Josias Musasa
MMA
15.03.25	Carlos Vera - Josias Musasa	Vera C. - 1st Round TKO ✺

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colby Thicknesse
MMA
24.10.26	Colby Thicknesse - Asaf Chopurov	✺

Colby Thicknesse - Josias Musasa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide