Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: RAC Arena (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Dom Mar Fan		Kody Steele

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Dom Mar Fan
43.4%

Kody Steele
56.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dom Mar Fan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dom Mar Fan's form might have worsened.

Kody Steele has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kody Steele's recent form is better than expected.

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mar Fan will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Steele will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

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Steele is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the fighters have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Dom Mar Fan - Kody Steele: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide