Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: ONE Championship (World)

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Saitama Super Arena (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Eduard Folayang		Shinya Aoki

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Eduard Folayang
27.1%

Shinya Aoki
72.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

76.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eduard Folayang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-49.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eduard Folayang's form might have worsened.

Shinya Aoki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+49.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shinya Aoki's recent form is better than expected.

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In this match Aoki is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Folayang won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eduard Folayang
MMA
29.09.23	Eduard Folayang - Amir Khan	Folayang E. - 3rd Round KO ✺
02.12.22	Eduard Folayang - Edson Marques	Marques E. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
28.04.21	Shinya Aoki - Eduard Folayang	Aoki S. - 1st Round TKO ✺
30.10.20	Eduard Folayang - Tony Caruso	Caruso A. win Caruso A. - Round 3 / 5:00 Points ✺
31.01.20	Eduard Folayang - Pieter Buist	Buist P. win ✺
- Shinya Aoki
MMA
28.01.24	Shinya Aoki - Sage Northcutt	Canceled ✺
19.11.22	Shinya Aoki - Saygid Izagakhmaev	Izagakhmaev S. - 1st Round TKO ✺
26.03.22	Shinya Aoki - Yoshihiro Akiyama	Akiyama Y. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
28.04.21	Shinya Aoki - Eduard Folayang	Aoki S. - 1st Round TKO ✺
22.01.21	Shinya Aoki - James Nakashima	Aoki S. win Aoki S. - Round 1 / 2:41 Submission (Rear-naked choke) ✺

MMA
28.04.21	Shinya Aoki - Eduard Folayang	Aoki S. - 1st Round TKO
31.03.19	Eduard Folayang - Shinya Aoki	(Arm-triangle choke)Aoki S. win (Arm-triangle choke)Aoki S. - Round 1 / 2:34 Submission

Eduard Folayang - Shinya Aoki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide