Match Info

BANTAMWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: UFC Apex (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Elijah Smith		Toshiomi Kazama

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Elijah Smith
85%

Toshiomi Kazama
15%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

79.9%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elijah Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elijah Smith's performance.

Toshiomi Kazama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toshiomi Kazama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

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In this match, Smith is the undisputed favorite.

The fighters have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elijah Smith
MMA
15.02.25	Vince Morales - Elijah Smith	Smith E. win ✺
- Toshiomi Kazama
MMA
10.08.24	Toshiomi Kazama - Charalampos Grigoriou	Kazama T. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
26.08.23	Toshiomi Kazama - Garrett Armfield	Armfield G. - 1st Round TKO ✺
04.02.23	Toshiomi Kazama - Rinya Nakamura	Nakamura R. - 1st Round KO ✺

Elijah Smith - Toshiomi Kazama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide