Match Info

HEAVYWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Rogers Place (Edmonton, AB)


	Javad Mahjoub		Joel Faglier

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Javad Mahjoub
45.2%

Joel Faglier
54.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Javad Mahjoub has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Javad Mahjoub's form might have worsened.

Joel Faglier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joel Faglier's recent form is better than expected.

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Users Predictions: Joel Faglier will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joel Faglier will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

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The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two fighters have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Javad Mahjoub - Joel Faglier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide