Match Info

HEAVYWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Farmasi Arena (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	RMC Sport 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Jhonata Diniz		Mario Pinto

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Jhonata Diniz
54%

Mario Pinto
46%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jhonata Diniz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jhonata Diniz's performance.

Mario Pinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mario Pinto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Diniz will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Pinto will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Diniz (votes: 1 - 100%).

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The probability of winning is almost the same for both fighters in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the fighters.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Jhonata Diniz - Mario Pinto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide