Match Info

FEATHERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: United Center (Chicago, IL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	RMC Sport 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Lerone Murphy		Aaron Pico

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Lerone Murphy
40.7%

Aaron Pico
59.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lerone Murphy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Aaron Pico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Users Predictions: Lerone Murphy will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lerone Murphy will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

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Pico will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the fighters did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lerone Murphy
MMA
05.04.25	Josh Emmett - Lerone Murphy	Murphy L. win ✺
26.10.24	Lerone Murphy - Dan Ige	Murphy L. win ✺
18.05.24	Edson Barboza - Lerone Murphy	Murphy L. win ✺
10.02.24	Dan Ige - Lerone Murphy	Canceled ✺
22.07.23	Lerone Murphy - Joshua Culibao	Murphy L. win ✺
- Aaron Pico
MMA
26.07.25	Movsar Evloev - Aaron Pico	Canceled ✺
24.02.24	Henry Corrales - Aaron Pico	Pico A. - 1st Round TKO ✺
24.02.24	Gabriel Alves Braga - Aaron Pico	Canceled ✺
23.09.23	Aaron Pico - Pedro Carvalho	Pico A. - 1st Round TKO ✺
22.04.23	Aaron Pico - James Gonzalez	Pico A. win ✺

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Lerone Murphy - Aaron Pico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide