Match Info

BANTAMWEIGHT - WOMEN: UFC

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: UFC Apex (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


	Luana Santos		Melissa Croden

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Luana Santos
54.3%

Melissa Croden
45.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luana Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luana Santos's form might have worsened.

Melissa Croden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melissa Croden's recent form is better than expected.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%).

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The probability of winning is almost the same for both fighters in this match.

The fighters have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luana Santos
MMA
17.05.25	Luana Santos - Tainara Lisboa	Santos L. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
17.08.24	Casey ONeill - Luana Santos	O'Neill C. win ✺
13.07.24	Luana Santos - Mariya Agapova	Santos L. - 1st Round TKO ✺
09.12.23	Luana Santos - Stephanie Egger	Santos L. win ✺
12.08.23	Juliana Miller - Luana Santos	Santos L. - 1st Round TKO ✺
- Melissa Croden
MMA
18.10.25	Melissa Croden - Tainara Lisboa	Croden M. - 3rd Round TKO ✺

Luana Santos - Melissa Croden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide