Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: RIZIN

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ariake Arena (Tokyo) 🌤️ ...


	Luiz Gustavo		Taisei Sakuraba

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Luiz Gustavo
63.5%

Taisei Sakuraba
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luiz Gustavo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Taisei Sakuraba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

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Gustavo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the fighters have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luiz Gustavo
MMA
30.03.25	Luiz Gustavo - Shunta Nomura	Nomura S. - 3rd Round TS ✺
29.09.24	Roberto de Souza - Luiz Gustavo	de Souza R. - 1st Round KO ✺
24.02.24	Luiz Gustavo - Yoshinori Horie	Gustavo L. win ✺
29.04.23	Koji Takeda - Luiz Gustavo	Gustavo L. win ✺
31.12.22	Johnny Case - Luiz Gustavo	Canceled ✺
- Taisei Sakuraba
MMA
03.11.25	Sho Patrick Usami - Taisei Sakuraba	Sakuraba T. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
04.05.25	Daisuke Nakamura - Taisei Sakuraba	Nakamura D. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
31.12.24	Yusuke Yachi - Taisei Sakuraba	Sakuraba T. - 1st Round TKO ✺

Luiz Gustavo - Taisei Sakuraba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide