Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: UFC Apex (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


	Mateusz Rębecki		Chris Duncan

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Mateusz Rębecki
66.7%

Chris Duncan
33.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateusz Rębecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Chris Duncan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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No spectators.

Rębecki will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the fighters.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateusz Rębecki
MMA
26.10.24	Mateusz Rębecki - Myktybek Orolbai	Rebecki M. win ✺
11.05.24	Carlos Diego Ferreira - Mateusz Rębecki	Ferreira D. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
27.04.24	Joel Alvarez - Mateusz Rębecki	Canceled ✺
11.11.23	Mateusz Rębecki - Roosevelt Roberts	Rebecki M. - 1st Round TKO ✺
11.11.23	Mateusz Rębecki - Nurullo Aliev	Canceled ✺
- Chris Duncan
MMA
22.03.25	Jordan Vucenic - Chris Duncan	Duncan C. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
28.09.24	Bolaji Oki - Chris Duncan	Duncan C. - 1st Round TKO ✺
13.07.24	Chris Duncan - Nazim Sadykhov	Canceled ✺
24.02.24	Manuel Torres - Chris Duncan	Torres M. - 1st Round TKO ✺
14.10.23	Terrance McKinney - Chris Duncan	Canceled ✺

Mateusz Rębecki - Chris Duncan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide