Match Info

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT - MEN: UFC (World)

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Climate Pledge Arena (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN 2
Peru	Fox Sports 2
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Modestas Bukauskas		Raffael Cerqueira

	1	2
	1.36	3.25
	1.29	3.5
	1.38	3.21
			Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.33	3.19
	1.29	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.3)	3.29 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modestas Bukauskas
71.1%

Raffael Cerqueira
28.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modestas Bukauskas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Raffael Cerqueira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Modestas Bukauskas - Raffael Cerqueira Predictions

Users Predictions: Modestas Bukauskas will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Calgary won 4.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Calgary is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Calgary won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 75:63 (average 3.8:3.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Calgary won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 37:36 (average 3.7:3.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Modestas Bukauskas
MMA
27.07.24	Modestas Bukauskas - Marcin Prachnio	Bukauskas M. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
04.11.23	Vitor Petrino - Modestas Bukauskas	Petrino V. - 2nd Round KO ✺
17.06.23	Zac Pauga - Modestas Bukauskas	Bukauskas M. win ✺
11.02.23	Tyson Pedro - Modestas Bukauskas	Bukauskas M. win ✺
31.12.22	Modestas Bukauskas - Chuck Campbell	Bukauskas M. - 4th Round KO ✺
- Raffael Cerqueira
MMA
26.10.24	Ibo Aslan - Raffael Cerqueira	Aslan I. - 1st Round TKO ✺

Modestas Bukauskas - Raffael Cerqueira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Modestas Bukauskas - Raffael Cerqueira Predictions

Preview

Form

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