Match Info

FEATHERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: O2 Arena (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


	Nathaniel Wood		Losene Keita

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Nathaniel Wood
30.1%

Losene Keita
69.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathaniel Wood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nathaniel Wood's form might have worsened.

Losene Keita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Losene Keita's recent form is better than expected.

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In this match, Keita is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the fighters.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathaniel Wood
MMA
25.10.25	Nathaniel Wood - Jose Delgado	Wood N. win ✺
22.03.25	Nathaniel Wood - Morgan Charriere	Wood N. win ✺
27.07.24	Nathaniel Wood - Daniel Pineda	Wood N. win ✺
21.10.23	Nathaniel Wood - Muhammadjon Naimov	Naimov M. win ✺
22.07.23	Nathaniel Wood - Andre Fili	Wood N. win ✺
- Losene Keita
MMA
06.09.25	Patricio Freire - Losene Keita	Canceled ✺
29.12.24	Ronald Paradeiser - Losene Keita	Keita L. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
21.09.24	Losene Keita - Mateusz Legierski	Keita L. win ✺
20.07.24	Losene Keita - Predrag Bogdanović	Keita L. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
04.05.24	Losene Keita - Agy Sardari	Keita L. win ✺

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Nathaniel Wood - Losene Keita: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide