Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Ali Bin Hamad Al Attiyah Arena (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Nurullo Aliev		Shem Rock

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Nurullo Aliev
71.6%

Shem Rock
28.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nurullo Aliev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Shem Rock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

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In this match, Aliev is a strong favorite.

Recently, the fighters have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nurullo Aliev
MMA
11.01.25	Nurullo Aliev - Yanal Ashmouz	Canceled ✺
11.01.25	Nurullo Aliev - Joe Solecki	Aliev N. win ✺
11.11.23	Mateusz Rębecki - Nurullo Aliev	Canceled ✺
25.02.23	Rafael Alves - Nurullo Aliev	Aliev N. win ✺
- Shem Rock
MMA
17.05.25	Shem Rock - Attila Korkmaz	Rock S. win ✺
17.05.25	Shem Rock - Abdullo Khodzhaev	Canceled ✺
29.12.24	Jakub Bahník - Shem Rock	Canceled ✺
08.06.24	Jaroslav Pokorný - Shem Rock	Rock S. - 1st Round TKO ✺
20.04.24	Shem Rock - Stefano Catacoli	Rock S. - 1st Round TKO ✺

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Nurullo Aliev - Shem Rock: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide