Match Info

WELTERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Prudential Center (Newark, NJ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	S Sport+


	Sean Brady		Joaquin Buckley

	1	2
	2.8	1.45
	2.85	1.44
	2.65	1.53
			Watch
	2.42	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (1.53)	1.48 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sean Brady
35.6%

Joaquin Buckley
64.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sean Brady has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sean Brady's form might have worsened.

Joaquin Buckley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joaquin Buckley's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Sean Brady - Joaquin Buckley Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Brady will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Buckley will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Brady (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Buckley (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Preview

Brady will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the fighters have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sean Brady
MMA
15.11.25	Sean Brady - Michael Morales	Morales M. - 1st Round TKO ✺
22.03.25	Leon Edwards - Sean Brady	Brady S. - 4th Round TKO ✺
07.09.24	Gilbert Burns - Sean Brady	Brady S. win ✺
30.03.24	Sean Brady - Vicente Luque	Canceled ✺
02.12.23	Sean Brady - Kelvin Gastelum	Brady S. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
- Joaquin Buckley
MMA
15.06.25	Kamaru Usman - Joaquin Buckley	Usman K. win ✺
15.12.24	Colby Covington - Joaquin Buckley	Buckley J. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
14.12.24	Ian Machado Garry - Joaquin Buckley	Canceled ✺
05.10.24	Stephen Thompson - Joaquin Buckley	Buckley J. - 3rd Round KO ✺
11.05.24	Joaquin Buckley - Nursulton Ruziboev	Buckley J. win ✺

Sean Brady - Joaquin Buckley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Sean Brady - Joaquin Buckley Predictions

Preview

Form

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