Match Info

STRAWWEIGHT - WOMEN: UFC

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Meta Apex (Las Vegas, NV)


	Shauna Bannon		Nicolle Caliari

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Shauna Bannon
28.8%

Nicolle Caliari
71.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shauna Bannon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shauna Bannon's form might have worsened.

Nicolle Caliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolle Caliari's recent form is better than expected.

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bannon will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Caliari will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Caliari (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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In this match, Caliari is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the fighters did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shauna Bannon
MMA
06.09.25	Shauna Bannon - Sam Hughes	Hughes S. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
22.03.25	Shauna Bannon - Puja Tomar	Bannon S. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
27.07.24	Shauna Bannon - Ravena Oliveira	Canceled ✺
27.07.24	Shauna Bannon - Alice Ardelean	Bannon S. win ✺
23.03.24	Stephanie Luciano - Shauna Bannon	Canceled ✺
- Nicolle Caliari
MMA
19.07.25	Carli Judice - Nicolle Caliari	Judice C. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
11.01.25	Ernesta Kareckaite - Nicolle Caliari	Kareckaite E. win ✺

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolle Caliari
MMA
24.10.26	Iasmin Lucindo - Nicolle Caliari	✺

Shauna Bannon - Nicolle Caliari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide