Match Info

HEAVYWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	RMC Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Waldo Cortes-Acosta		Derrick Lewis

	1	2
	1.3	3.5
	1.27	3.85
	1.32	3.66
			Watch
	1.29	3.51
	1.28	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↑ (1.28)	3.57 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waldo Cortes-Acosta
73.4%

Derrick Lewis
26.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waldo Cortes-Acosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Derrick Lewis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Waldo Cortes Acosta - Derrick Lewis Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cortes-Acosta will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Lewis will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lewis: 64.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Derrick Lewis will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

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Preview

In this match, Cortes-Acosta is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the fighters did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waldo Cortes-Acosta
MMA
22.11.25	Waldo Cortes-Acosta - Shamil Gaziev	Cortes-Acosta W. - 1st Round KO ✺
01.11.25	Waldo Cortes-Acosta - Ante Delija	Cortes-Acosta W. - 1st Round KO ✺
23.08.25	Sergey Pavlovich - Waldo Cortes-Acosta	Pavlovich S. win ✺
07.06.25	Sergey Spivak - Waldo Cortes-Acosta	Cortes-Acosta W. win ✺
15.03.25	Waldo Cortes-Acosta - Ryan Spann	Cortes-Acosta W. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
- Derrick Lewis
MMA
12.07.25	Derrick Lewis - Tallison Teixeira	Lewis D. - 1st Round TKO ✺
02.11.24	Derrick Lewis - Jhonata Diniz	Canceled ✺
02.11.24	Derrick Lewis - Alexander Romanov	Canceled ✺
11.05.24	Derrick Lewis - Rodrigo Nascimento	Lewis D. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
04.11.23	Jailton Almeida - Derrick Lewis	Almeida J. win ✺

Waldo Cortes-Acosta - Derrick Lewis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Waldo Cortes Acosta - Derrick Lewis Predictions

Preview

Form

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