The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Widnes Vikings 27.1%
Draw 3.5%
York City Knights 69.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.9%
5.4%
64.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
6.1%
57.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Widnes Vikings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
York City Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widnes Vikings than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Widnes Vikings, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City Knights than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for York City Knights, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Owens J.
3. Buchanan K.
4. Edge J.
6. Hingano A.
5. Butt M.
7. Harris L.
6. Lyons J.
8. Martin J.
7. Gilmore T.
9. McShane P.
8. Murray D.
12. Bailey C.
9. Johnstone J.
13. Thompson J.
15. Bent L.
16. Gannon J.
17. Roberts M.
17. Ta'ai U.
18. Gregson N.
20. Field O.
29. Williams R.
34. Jones-Bishop B.
30. Badrock A.
35. Galeano S.
33. Maizen J.
36. Mataafa L.
Substitutes
11. Lloyd R.
2. Brown J.
13. McWhirter M.
10. Santi B.
14. Fozard M.
14. Pemberton T.
20. Hall L.
21. Fitzsimmons C.
21. Bennion G.
31. Hudson K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (18 - 16)
6', Edge J. (Try),
8', Gilmore T. (Conversion Goal),
16', Maizen J. (Try),
16', Gilmore T. (Conversion Goal),
21', Murray D. (Try),
22', Jones-Bishop B. (Try),
22', Edge J. (Conversion Goal),
23', Harris L. (Conversion Goal),
30', Jones-Bishop B. (Try),
33', Harris L. (Conversion Goal),
39', Jones-Bishop B. (Try),
2nd Half (0 - 20)
53', Bailey C. (Try),
55', Harris L. (Conversion Goal),
61', Harris L. (Penalty Goal),
70', Harris L. (Try),
70', Harris L. (Conversion Goal),
78', Galeano S. (Try),
79', Harris L. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Widnes won 1.
In recent matches, Widnes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
York is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, York is considered a favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Widnes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 225:336. (average 16.1:24).
Including home matches between the teams, Widnes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 120:131. (average 20:21.8).
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Owens J. 
Buchanan K. 
Hingano A. 
Butt M. 
Martin J. 
Ta'ai U. 
Jones-Bishop B. 
Maizen J. 
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