Match Info

ENGLAND: Premiership Rugby Cup

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Dillingham Park (Ampthill) 🌤️ ...


	Ampthill		Bristol Rugby

	1	X	2
	29	34	1.01
	12	50	1
	17.65	71.1	1.01
	21	51	1.01
	50	50	1
	12	50	1
Avarage Now (Initially)	23.61 ↑ (20.5)	51.02 ↑ (33)	1.01 ↑ (1.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 73.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-36)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ampthill
4%

Draw
1.9%

Bristol Rugby
94.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

4.5%

2.8%

92.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ampthill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Bristol Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Ampthill - Bristol Rugby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:55

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flynn J.	1. Thomas Y.
2. Thompson L.	2. Capon W.
3. Johnstone J.	3. Kloska G.
4. Thomas A.	4. Caulfield J.
5. Parkinson J.	5. Barker S.
6. Rylands C.	6. Grondona S.
7. Clementson M.	7. Cripps K.
8. Ravuvu L.	8. Grondona B.
9. Morgan R.	9. Marmion K.
10. Barton J.	10. Byrne H.
11. Qorowale V.	11. Bailey D.
12. Strachan F.	12. Jenkins J.
13. Vaenuku S.	13. Ravouvou K.
14. Cullen M.	14. Heward N.
15. Mitchell E.	15. Elizalde B.
Substitutes
16. Lutui A.	16. Gwilliam T.
17. Barrington R.	17. Turner A.
18. Norrie C.	18. Halliwell J.
19. Mapapalangi V.	19. Luatua S.
20. Rafferty C.	20. Harding F.
21. Frostwick R.	21. Edwards S.
22. Sharwood B.	22. Janse van Rensburg B.
23. McNulty O.	23. Lane R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 41)
6', Grondona S. (Try),
6', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
10', Bailey D. (Try),
10', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
18', Heward N. (Try),
19', Cullen M. (Try),
19', Barton J. (Conversion Goal),
21', Bailey D. (Try),
29', Marmion K. (Try),
30', Elizalde B. (Try),
30', Elizalde B. (Conversion Goal),
31', Bailey D. (Try),
2nd Half (7 - 33)
47', Elizalde B. (Try),
47', Janse van Rensburg B. (Conversion Goal),
48', Cullen M. 🟨,
56', Bailey D. (Try),
56', Janse van Rensburg B. (Conversion Goal),
65', Ravouvou K. (Try),
66', Janse van Rensburg B. (Conversion Goal),
72', Gwilliam T. (Try),
72', Janse van Rensburg B. (Conversion Goal),
75', McNulty O. (Try),
76', Barton J. (Conversion Goal),
79', Jenkins J. (Try),

Preview

Recent matches Bristol is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ampthill could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bristol is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ampthill won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ampthill RUFC
English Premiership Rugby Cup
24.11.24	Bristol Rugby - Ampthill	40:15 ✺
08.11.24	Bedford Blues - Ampthill	26:6 ✺
02.11.24	Ampthill - Bath	0:73 ✺
English Championship Rugby
11.05.24	Ampthill - Hartpury University	36:44 ✺
04.05.24	Ealing Trailfinders - Ampthill	57:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Bristol Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
26.01.25	Bristol Rugby - Newcastle Red Bulls	55:35 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
18.01.25	Clermont - Bristol Rugby	33:26 ✺
12.01.25	Bristol Rugby - Benetton Treviso	35:34 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
04.01.25	Saracens - Bristol Rugby	35:26 ✺
27.12.24	Bristol Rugby - Sale Sharks	0:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby Cup
24.11.24	Bristol Rugby - Ampthill	40:15

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