The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Australia 26.3%
Draw 3.7%
New Zealand 69.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.3%
3.1%
67.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Australia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
New Zealand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Australia - New Zealand Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:50
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ross A.
1. Bower G.
2. Nasser J.
2. Taylor C.
3. Alaalatoa A.
3. Newell F.
4. Williams J.
4. Barrett S.
5. Salakaia-Loto L.
5. Holland F.
6. Valetini R.
6. Vaa'i T.
7. Mcreight F.
7. Lakai P.
8. Wilson H.
8. Sititi W.
9. Lonergan R.
9. Roigard C.
10. Meredith D.
10. McKenzie D.
11. Potter H.
11. Moorby J.
12. Henry I.
12. Barrett J.
13. Suaalii J.
13. Tupaea Q.
14. Jorgensen M.
14. Jordan W.
15. Wright T.
15. Barrett B.
Substitutes
16. Pollard B.
16. Taukei'aho S.
17. Bell A.
17. Numia X.
18. De Lutiis M.
18. Tosi P.
19. Canham J.
19. Frizell S.
20. Tizzano C.
20. Kirifi D.
21. Thomas K.
21. Ratima C.
22. McLaughlin-Phillips H.
22. Tavatavanawai T.
23. Daugunu F.
23. Ioane R.
Coaches
. Kiss L.
. Rennie D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (7 - 36)
11', Moorby J. (Try),
12', McKenzie D. (Missed Conversion),
17', Barrett B. (Try),
18', McKenzie D. (Missed Conversion),
20', Lakai P. (Try),
21', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
25', Ioane R. (Try),
26', McKenzie D. (Missed Conversion),
28', Williams J. (Try),
29', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
30', Williams J. 🟨,
31', Sititi W. (Try),
32', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
40', Barrett B. (Try),
40+1', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 7)
42', Moorby J. (Try),
43', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
53', Wright T. (Try),
54', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
65', Daugunu F. (Try),
66', Meredith D. (Conversion Goal),
75', Fihaki C. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Australia won 0.
New Zealand has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, New Zealand is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Australia has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 363:650 (averaging 18.2:32.5 goals per game).