Match Info
Friendly InternationalDate: 15 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Queensland Country Bank Stadium (Townsville)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
Australia | 9Gem, Nine, Stan Sport |
France | CANAL+ France |
Peru | Movistar Deportes |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Spain | M+ Deportes, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
World | RugbyPass TV |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Australia |
|
Japan |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.08 |
34 |
7.5 |
|
 |
1.1 |
29 |
7.5 |
|
 |
1.08 |
40 |
7.2 |
|
 |
1.06 |
26 |
7.5 |
Watch |
 |
1.07 |
35.66 |
6.7 |
|
 |
1.06 |
41 |
10 |
|
 |
1.08 |
45 |
7.2 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.08 ↓ (1.09) |
35.81 ↓ (40.98) |
7.66 ↑ (7.26) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 62.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-20)
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Australia 85.4% | Draw 2.6% | Japan 12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Australia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Australia - Japan Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -18.5 - Australia (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Australia (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 41:21 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Bell A.
| 1. Okabe T.
|
2. Nasser J.
| 2. Hayate E.
|
3. Tupou T.
| 3. Shuhei T.
|
4. Shaw L.
| 4. Hockings H.
|
5. Salakaia-Loto L.
| 5. Dearns W.
|
6. Cale C.
| 6. Gunter B.
|
7. Tizzano C.
| 7. Costley T.
|
8. Wilson H. (C)
| 8. Makisi F.
|
9. Lonergan R.
| 9. Saito N.
|
10. Gordon C.
| 10. Ito R.
|
11. Potter H.
| 11. Yazaki Y.
|
12. Paisami H.
| 12. Riley D.
|
13. Henry I.
| 13. Uenobo S.
|
14. Jorgensen M.
| 14. Haruto K.
|
15. Wright T.
| 15. Matsunaga T.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Paenga-Amosa B.
| 16. Harada M.
|
17. Ross A.
| 17. Otsuka S.
|
18. De Lutiis M.
| 18. Sword I.
|
19. Williams J.
| 19. Cornelsen J.
|
20. Mcreight F.
| 20. Leitch M. (C)
|
21. McDermott T.
| 21. Kamimura I.
|
22. Donaldson B.
| 22. Tua S.
|
23. Daugunu F.
| 23. Ueda K.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Kiss L.
| . Jones E.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (21 - 17)
- 6', Nasser J. (Try),
- 7', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 11', Hockings H. (Try),
- 12', Matsunaga T. (Missed Conversion),
- 16', Tupou T. (Try),
- 17', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 25', Saito N. (Try),
- 26', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
- 33', Riley D. (Try),
- 34', Matsunaga T. (Missed Conversion),
- 38', Tupou T. (Try),
- 39', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (35 - 0)
- 51', Bell A. (Try),
- 52', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 58', De Lutiis M. (Try),
- 60', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Cale C. (Try),
- 74', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
- 75', Harada M. 🟨,
- 75', Wilson H. (Try),
- 76', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Paenga-Amosa B. (Try),
- 80', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In this match, Australia is the clear favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Australia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 149:100. (average 37.3:25).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;