Match Info

Date: 15 April 2021, Thursday


	Béziers		Perpignan

	1	X	2
	1.66	21	2.3
	1.66	19	2.25
	1.75	23	2.1
	1.65	20	2.15
	1.73	19	2.15
	1.7	21	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.11)	20.5 ↓ (20.83)	2.2 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Béziers
54%

Draw
4.5%

Perpignan
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

4.4%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

4.4%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Béziers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Béziers's performance.

Perpignan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Perpignan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Béziers than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Béziers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perpignan than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Perpignan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	6.7%	13.3%

Béziers - Perpignan Predictions

Users Predictions: Béziers will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:23

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Preview

Recent matches Béziers is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Perpignan is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Béziers to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Béziers won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 168-204.

Including matches at home between the teams Béziers won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 78-74.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Béziers
French Pro D2
08.04.21	Oyonnax Rugby - Béziers	38:20 ✺
02.04.21	Béziers - Rouen Normandie	23:25 ✺
25.03.21	Béziers - Biarritz	41:15 ✺
12.03.21	SA XV Charente - Béziers	15:12 ✺
05.03.21	Montauban - Béziers	27:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWLW
- USA Perpignan
French Pro D2
08.04.21	Perpignan - Biarritz	29:27 ✺
01.04.21	Stade Aurillacois - Perpignan	27:27 ✺
25.03.21	FC Grenoble - Perpignan	20:28 ✺
11.03.21	Perpignan - Provence Rugby	42:3 ✺
04.03.21	Oyonnax Rugby - Perpignan	28:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
14.11.20	Perpignan - Béziers	10:16
22.08.19	Perpignan - Béziers	23:13
05.01.18	Perpignan - Béziers	22:23
24.09.17	Béziers - Perpignan	21:8
16.10.16	Béziers - Perpignan	13:24
03.03.16	Perpignan - Béziers	47:13
17.12.15	Béziers - Perpignan	27:22

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