Match Info

Top 14 - Relegation - Final

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade des Alpes (Grenoble)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 3


	FC Grenoble		Perpignan

	1	X	2
	3.2	23	1.36
	3.4	26	1.33
				Watch
	3.25	26	1.36
	3.4	23	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.44)	24.5 ↑ (19)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Grenoble
27.8%

Draw
3.8%

Perpignan
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

4.8%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

3.9%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Perpignan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Grenoble than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perpignan than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perpignan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

FC Grenoble - Perpignan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. FC Grenoble (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:29

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gauthier Z.	1. Beria G.
2. Sarragallet M.	2. Lam S.
3. Jonker J.	3. Brookes K.
4. Lainault T.	4. Tanguy M.
5. Nansen B.	5. Tuilagi P.
6. Berruyer A.	6. Van Tonder J.
7. Martel T.	7. Della Schiava N.
8. Muarua P.	8. Oviedo J.
9. Couilloud B.	9. Hall J.
10. Davies S.	10. Allan T.
11. Hulleu W.	11. Joseph J.
12. Heriteau J.	12. De La Fuente J.
13. Fusier R.	13. Duguivalu A.
14. Trouilloud H.	14. Veredamu T.
15. Farnoux J.	15. Dubois L.
Substitutes
16. Rossi L.	16. Lotrian M.
17. Raynaud T.	17. Devaux B.
18. Javakhia G.	18. Warion A.
19. Guillaumond V.	19. Velarte L.
20. Escande E.	20. Aprasidze G.
21. Palmier M.	21. Delpy V.
22. Trouilloud R.	22. Buliruarua E.
23. Pertaia G.	23. Ceccarelli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (8 - 7)
2', Veredamu T. (Try),
4', Allan T. (Conversion Goal),
24', Lainault T. (Try),
38', Davies S. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (3 - 6)
66', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
75', Trouilloud R. (Penalty Goal),
77', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Grenoble won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Perpignan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, FC Grenoble has had a series of home games.

In this match, Perpignan is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, FC Grenoble won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 274:363. (average 19.6:25.9).

Including home matches between the teams, FC Grenoble won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 160:159. (average 22.9:22.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grenoble
French Pro D2
07.06.25	FC Grenoble - Montauban	19:24 ✺
29.05.25	FC Grenoble - Provence Rugby	38:17 ✺
16.05.25	FC Grenoble - Nevers	51:42 ✺
09.05.25	Brive - FC Grenoble	38:13 ✺
25.04.25	FC Grenoble - Oyonnax Rugby	26:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLW
- USA Perpignan
French Top 14
07.06.25	Perpignan - Toulouse	42:35 ✺
31.05.25	La Rochelle - Perpignan	38:15 ✺
17.05.25	Clermont - Perpignan	31:13 ✺
10.05.25	Perpignan - Stade Français	20:18 ✺
26.04.25	Montpellier - Perpignan	19:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
03.06.23	FC Grenoble - Perpignan	19:33
25.03.21	FC Grenoble - Perpignan	20:28
10.10.20	Perpignan - FC Grenoble	26:18
13.02.20	FC Grenoble - Perpignan	20:10
24.11.19	Perpignan - FC Grenoble	20:13
French Top 14
23.03.19	Perpignan - FC Grenoble	22:16
22.09.18	FC Grenoble - Perpignan	31:22

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