Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: BUNNINGS NPC - ROUND 7

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	12:05	Stan Sport


	Bay of Plenty		Wellington

	1	X	2
	3.1	20	1.41
	3.25	26	1.33
	2.9	29	1.44	Watch
	3.1	25	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.47)	25 ↓ (25.5)	1.39 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bay of Plenty
29.9%

Draw
3.7%

Wellington
66.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.6%

3.6%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

3.3%

76.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bay of Plenty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Wellington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bay of Plenty than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bay of Plenty that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wellington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bay of Plenty - Wellington Predictions

Users Predictions: Wellington will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:32

#ad

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bay of Plenty won 1.

Bay of Plenty is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wellington is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Wellington is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bay of Plenty won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 213-331.

Including matches at home between the teams Bay of Plenty won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 97-146.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bay of Plenty
New Zealand NPC
09.09.23	Hawkes Bay - Bay of Plenty	35:38 ✺
01.09.23	Bay of Plenty - Otago	38:14 ✺
26.08.23	Taranaki - Bay of Plenty	19:29 ✺
18.08.23	Counties Manukau - Bay of Plenty	32:19 ✺
11.08.23	Bay of Plenty - Waikato	19:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWLW
- Wellington Rugby
New Zealand NPC
08.09.23	Waikato - Wellington	24:41 ✺
02.09.23	Wellington - Counties Manukau	56:25 ✺
26.08.23	Canterbury - Wellington	31:36 ✺
23.08.23	Wellington - Tasman	7:0 ✺
18.08.23	Wellington - Southland	39:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
07.08.22	Wellington - Bay of Plenty	37:35
01.10.21	Bay of Plenty - Wellington	33:32
25.09.20	Wellington - Bay of Plenty	32:10
07.09.19	Bay of Plenty - Wellington	15:16
27.10.17	Wellington - Bay of Plenty	59:45 OT
31.08.17	Bay of Plenty - Wellington	10:31
16.09.16	Wellington - Bay of Plenty	24:10

Bay of Plenty - Wellington