Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: BUNNINGS NPC - ROUND 6

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hawkes Bay		Bay of Plenty

	1	X	2
	1.7	26	2.18
	1.67	19	2.25
	1.76	27	2.13
	1.66	24	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.04)	24 ↑ (18.17)	2.2 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawkes Bay
54.3%

Draw
3.8%

Bay of Plenty
41.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

5.1%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

4.7%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawkes Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hawkes Bay's performance.

Bay of Plenty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bay of Plenty might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawkes Bay than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hawkes Bay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bay of Plenty than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bay of Plenty could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Hawkes Bay - Bay of Plenty Predictions

Users Predictions: Bay of Plenty will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hawkes Bay won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Bay of Plenty could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Hawkes Bay won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 322-363.

Including matches at home between the teams Hawkes Bay won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 223-188.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawkes Bay
New Zealand NPC
01.09.23	Northland - Hawkes Bay	44:21 ✺
25.08.23	Auckland - Hawkes Bay	34:22 ✺
19.08.23	Hawkes Bay - Otago	33:32 ✺
16.08.23	Hawkes Bay - Waikato	35:32 ✺
11.08.23	Counties Manukau - Hawkes Bay	24:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWL
- Bay of Plenty
New Zealand NPC
01.09.23	Bay of Plenty - Otago	38:14 ✺
26.08.23	Taranaki - Bay of Plenty	19:29 ✺
18.08.23	Counties Manukau - Bay of Plenty	32:19 ✺
11.08.23	Bay of Plenty - Waikato	19:15 ✺
05.08.23	Bay of Plenty - Auckland	30:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
23.09.22	Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay	20:14
18.09.21	Hawkes Bay - Bay of Plenty	36:33 OT
31.10.20	Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay	22:17
25.10.19	Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay	12:7
27.09.19	Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay	51:24
08.09.18	Hawkes Bay - Bay of Plenty	29:28
25.08.17	Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay	46:17

Hawkes Bay - Bay of Plenty