Match Info
NPC - Round 5Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday ๐ Finished Location: Sky Stadium (Wellington) ๐ค๏ธ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
|---|
 Australia | 12:05 | Stan Sport |
 Mexico | 20:05 | Disney+ |
 International | 02:05 | RugbyPass TV |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Wellington |
|
Counties Manukau |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.5 |
19 |
2.5 |
|
 |
1.57 |
26 |
2.41 |
|
 |
1.57 |
19 |
2.4 |
 Watch |
 |
1.52 |
23 |
2.25 |
|
 |
1.59 |
15 |
2.51 |
|
 |
1.57 |
26 |
2.41 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.33) |
21.33 ↓
(29) |
2.41 ↓
(3) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 63.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Wellington
58.3% | Draw
4.2% | Counties Manukau
37.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Wellington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wellington's form might have worsened.Counties Manukau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Counties Manukau's recent form is better than expected.Wellington - Counties Manukau Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:30 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (21 - 26)
- 2nd Half (14 - 20)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 4.Wellington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Wellington might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 429:283. (average 39:25.7).Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 155:71. (average 38.8:17.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NPC | | | 11.10.24 | Wellington - Counties Manukau | 29:14 | | 27.09.24 | Counties Manukau - Wellington | 51:14 | | 02.09.23 | Wellington - Counties Manukau | 56:25 | | 01.10.22 | Counties Manukau - Wellington | 31:64 | | 24.10.20 | Counties Manukau - Wellington | 20:53 | | 29.08.19 | Wellington - Counties Manukau | 29:22 | | 14.09.18 | Counties Manukau - Wellington | 12:53 |
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