Match Info

Date: 27 November 2021, Saturday


	Biarritz		Stade Français

	1	X	2
	1.55	21	2.4
	1.5	19	2.75
	1.57	17	2.47
	1.53	19	2.6
	1.62	23	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.73)	19.8 ↑ (15)	2.53 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 34.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Biarritz
59.1%

Draw
4.6%

Stade Français
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

5.9%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

5.6%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biarritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Biarritz's performance.

Stade Français has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stade Français might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Biarritz than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Biarritz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Français than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stade Français could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Biarritz - Stade Français Predictions

Users Predictions: Biarritz will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:15

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Pro D2 (Relegation) and 11).

Biarritz is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stade Français is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Biarritz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Biarritz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 100-114.

Including matches at home between the teams Biarritz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 74-40.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Biarritz Olympique
French Top 14
06.11.21	Section Paloise - Biarritz	33:21 ✺
30.10.21	Toulon - Biarritz	13:9 ✺
23.10.21	Biarritz - Brive	37:9 ✺
16.10.21	Castres - Biarritz	38:20 ✺
09.10.21	Biarritz - Lyon	5:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL
- Stade Français
French Top 14
06.11.21	Stade Français - Montpellier	27:31 ✺
30.10.21	Section Paloise - Stade Français	18:9 ✺
23.10.21	Stade Français - Lyon	23:18 ✺
16.10.21	Perpignan - Stade Français	22:23 ✺
10.10.21	Stade Français - Clermont	22:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
04.01.14	Biarritz - Stade Français	6:18
30.08.13	Stade Français - Biarritz	38:3
04.05.13	Biarritz - Stade Français	52:17
22.12.12	Stade Français - Biarritz	36:23
12.05.12	Biarritz - Stade Français	16:5

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