The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stade Français 65.3%
Draw 4%
Montpellier 30.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
70.1%
4.4%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.7%
4.2%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stade Français has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montpellier's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Français than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Stade Français - Montpellier Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:23
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Iscaro J.
1. Welsch V.
2. Peyresblanques L.
2. Tolofua C.
3. Alo-Emile P.
3. Hounkpatin W.
4. Gabrillagues P. (C)
4. Chalureau B.
5. Metz F.
5. Duguid T.
6. Halaifonua T.
6. Verhaeghe F.
7. Chapuis R.
7. Becognee A.
8. Tanga Mangene Y.
8. Vunipola V. (C)
9. Abadie P.
9. Bernadet A.
10. Carbonel L.
10. Miotti H.
11. Etien L.
11. Rates M.
12. Nene N.
12. Piccardo J.
13. Ward J. C.
13. Vincent A.
14. Ezeala S.
14. Moustin M.
15. Barre L.
15. Banks T.
Substitutes
16. Maka T.
16. Akrab L.
17. Abramishvili S.
17. Wardi R.
18. Azagoh P.
18. Tabarot L.
19. Scelzo J. M.
19. Beard A.
20. Motassi T.
20. Masibaka A.
21. Vili T.
21. Price A.
22. Duguivalu A.
22. Hogg S.
23. Melikidze G.
23. Anyanwu L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (16 - 15)
19', Alo-Emile P. (Try),
20', Carbonel L. (Missed Conversion),
23', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
23', Piccardo J. (Try),
25', Miotti H. (Missed Conversion),
28', Vili T. (Try),
30', Carbonel L. (Missed Conversion),
34', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
36', Hogg S. (Try),
37', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
39', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
40+2', Miotti H. (Missed Penalty),
2nd Half (14 - 7)
43', Hogg S. (Missed Penalty),
54', Duguivalu A. (Try),
54', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
76', Barre L. (Try),
77', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
79', Bernadet A. (Try),
80', Hogg S. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th and 5th in the Promotion - Top 14 Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Stade Français carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Stade Français in today's match, at odds of 1.37.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Stade Français has recorded 9 wins, 1 draw, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 432:479 (averaging 21.6:24 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stade Français against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 251:161 goals (averaging 27.9:17.9 per game).
France
United Kingdom
International
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Iscaro J. 
Welsch V. 
Alo-Emile P. 
Halaifonua T. 
Vunipola V. (C) 
Miotti H. 
Ward J. C. 
Ezeala S. 
Banks T. 
Abramishvili S. 
Beard A. 
Masibaka A. 
Anyanwu L. 
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